Sell or Ship? The 2025 Moving Calculator for Expats Leaving Dubai
Published on December 5, 2025

Introduction: The Dubizzle Headache vs. The Shipping Container Cost
You’re standing in your living room, looking at your favorite sofa from The One. It’s the centerpiece of your home. But as you plan your exit from Dubai, you’re faced with a daunting financial question: is that sofa worth the AED 12,000 it might cost to ship it to London in a container? Or should you brave the world of low-ball offers and no-shows on Dubizzle to sell it for a fraction of its worth, only to buy a new one overseas?
This is the classic "Sell vs. Ship" dilemma for every expat leaving the UAE. It's a complex calculation of financial cost, sentimental value, and logistical hassle. As relocation analysts, we've guided thousands of families through this exact problem. The answer isn't emotional; it's mathematical.
This guide provides a data-driven framework—a "logic calculator"—to help you make a smart, financially sound decision for every piece of furniture in your home.
The 3-Step "Sell vs. Ship" Formula
To decide, you need to calculate and compare two key numbers: the "Net Cost to Keep" versus the "Net Cost to Replace."
Step 1: Calculate the "Net Cost to Keep"
This is the true cost of getting your existing item to your new home.
(Cost to Ship Item) - (Dubai Resale Value) = Net Cost to Keep
- Cost to Ship Item: Estimate the item's share of the container cost. A 3-seater sofa is about 1.5 CBM.
- Dubai Resale Value: This is the money you lose by not selling. Be brutally realistic. The average resale value for used mass-market furniture (IKEA, Home Centre) in Dubai is 20-30% of its original price. For luxury brands like Marina Home, expect 40-50%.
Step 2: Calculate the "Net Cost to Replace"
This is what it will cost you to buy a similar item in your new country.
(Replacement Cost at Destination) - (Price of New Item in Dubai) = Net Cost to Replace
Or more simply, just the price of buying it new in London/New York/Sydney.
Step 3: The Verdict
Compare the two numbers.
If the Net Cost to Keep is significantly lower than the Net Cost to Replace, you should SHIP IT.
If the Net Cost to Keep is higher, you should SELL IT and buy new at your destination.
The "IKEA Index": A Real-World Price Comparison (2025 Data)
Let's apply the formula to some popular items. Prices in the destination countries are often much higher than in Dubai.
| Item | Price in Dubai (AED) | Price in UK (AED Equiv.) | Price in USA (AED Equiv.) | Ship or Sell? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KIVIK 3-Seat Sofa | AED 1,695 | ~AED 3,550 (£755) | ~AED 3,115 ($849) | SHIP. Replacement is 2x the price. |
| MALM Bed Frame (High) | AED 1,295 | ~AED 840 (£179) | ~AED 1,460 ($399) | SELL. Cheaper to buy new in the UK. |
Analysis: This data reveals a clear pattern. Soft furnishings like sofas and armchairs are often significantly more expensive in Europe and the US, making them prime candidates for shipping. Hard furniture like bed frames or basic shelving can often be replaced for a similar or even lower cost abroad.
Shipping Costs vs. Volume: The Real Numbers (2025)
The cost of a 20ft container (which holds about 30 CBM, enough for a 2-bed apartment) is your biggest variable.
| Destination | 20ft Container Cost (AED) |
|---|---|
| UK (Southampton/Felixstowe) | AED 9,000 - 12,000 |
| USA (NY/East Coast) | AED 11,000 - 15,000 |
| Australia (Sydney/Melbourne) | AED 13,000 - 18,000 |
| India (Nhava Sheva) | AED 3,500 - 6,000 |
What if you only want to ship a few items? Don't have enough for a full container? Ask your mover for a Groupage (LCL) quote. You share container space and only pay for the volume you use. This is perfect for shipping just a sofa, a bed, and a few boxes of sentimental items.
The "Hidden" Factors That Can Make Your Decision For You
1. Voltage: The USA Problem
- The Rule: The UAE and Europe run on 220-240V. The USA runs on 110-120V.
- The Verdict: Your high-end Dubai coffee machine, TV, and kitchen appliances will not work in the USA without a bulky and inefficient power converter. SELL ALL US-BOUND ELECTRONICS. It is never worth shipping them.
2. Fit & Function: The "White Goods" Problem
- The Rule: In the UK and Europe, kitchens often have smaller, integrated spaces for washing machines and fridges.
- The Verdict: Your massive American-style double-door fridge from Dubai likely won't fit in a standard London kitchen. Measure the space in your new home before you ship appliances.
3. Wood & Natural Materials: The Australia Problem
- The Rule: Australia has the world's strictest biosecurity laws. Any item made of wood, wicker, bamboo, or that has been used outdoors (e.g., garden furniture) will be intensely scrutinized.
- The Verdict: Think twice before shipping outdoor or natural-fiber furniture to Australia. If you do, it must be professionally cleaned and declared.
The Paperwork for Duty-Free Entry
To avoid paying 20%+ in taxes on your own used furniture, you MUST complete the correct customs forms for your destination country before you ship.
- UK: Application for Transfer of Residence (ToR1)
- USA: CBP Form 3299 (Declaration for Free Entry of Unaccompanied Articles)
- Australia: Unaccompanied Personal Effects Statement (B534)
- India: Transfer of Residence (TR) rules (for returning citizens)
A professional international mover will guide you through this essential paperwork.
Conclusion: A Hybrid Strategy is the Smartest Strategy
The data is clear: a hybrid approach is the most financially sound strategy for expats leaving Dubai.
- SHIP: High-value, high-quality soft furnishings (sofas, armchairs), expensive rugs, mattresses, and sentimental items that are irreplaceable. These are often far more expensive to replace abroad.
- SELL/DONATE: Generic, mass-market furniture (especially IKEA beds and shelves), all electronics if moving to the USA, large appliances if moving to the UK, and any item you don't truly love.
The final step is to get a precise shipping cost to plug into your formula.
Need an exact shipping quote to finalize your math? Compare 3+ competitive quotes from MoveConnector's vetted international movers now.